ESA Nudges Asteroid Collision Risk Higher

YR4 asteroid

There is a 1.6% chance that the YR4 asteroid will impact Earth in late 2032, according to ESA.

Credit: ESA
The European Space Agency says the risk of the 2024 YR4 asteroid crashing into Earth has gone up since an initial assessment it made late last month. ESA, in a Feb. 4 update, said the risk of the impact now stands at 1.6%—up from 1.2%. The agency also slightly adjusted its estimate of the asteroid's...
Robert Wall

Robert Wall is Executive Editor for Defense and Space. Based in London, he directs a team of military and space journalists across the U.S., Europe and Asia-Pacific.

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