Richard Aboulafia

Managing Director, Aerodynamic Advisory

Washington, DC

Summary

Contributing columnist Richard Aboulafia is managing director at Aerodynamic Advisory. He is based in Washington.

Articles

RICHARD ABOULAFIA, TEAL GROUP
The business aircraft market has been flat for over three years. There were 305 business jet deliveries in 1993, 315 in 1994 and 307 in 1995. And 10% of deliveries in each of these years were Beechjet T-1s for the USAF Tanker, Transport Training System (TTTS) program. WAITING FOR GROWTH

BY RICHARD ABOULAFIA, TEAL GROUP
While the long-term future of the manned combat aircraft is heavily debated, the future of the manned strategic bomber is fairly obvious: in the long run, it is doomed. The U.S. has the only active production strategic bomber program, and the most capable bomber fleet. Russia, which inherited most of the ex-Soviet bomber force, has the only other strategic bomber force. It flies some Tupolev Tu-95s and Tu-160s, but these are not being upgraded. The replacement program, Sukhoi's T-60, is dormant.

RICHARD ABOULAFIA, TEAL GROUP
The commercial jet transport market has returned to prosperity. Orders are up, airlines are making money, and only about 200 used planes are on the market, down from 1,000 a few years ago. Two questions remain: is this recovery sustainable, and does a rising tide lift all boats?